US Open 2017, Preview & Predictions

The 2nd major of the year gets going at Erin Hills in Wisconsin on Thursday and indications are that it will be a typically tough US Open test.

 

Erin Hills is a par 72 layout and this will be the 1st time that the course has hosted the US Open. It is a relatively new course opening in 2004 and all indications are it will play long with generous fairways. Those that do stray will be severely penalised in the thick rough though and the greens should be typically fast with short cut run off areas making scrambling crucial. The cream tends to rise to the top in this event and even though the US Open is played on different courses the set-up is usually similar so past form in the event is a factor. Most important though is current form and you do not want to be taking any baggage with you into this event.

 

The field is as expected of the highest quality with Dustin Johnson heading the betting at 15/2. I have plenty of respect for all of the players bunched towards the top of the bookmakers’ boards but I am going to be looking on the fringes and deeper for my betting interest.

 

Past Winners (at different courses)

2016 – Dustin Johnson -4

2015 – Jordan Spieth -5

2014 – Martin Kaymer -9

2013 – Justin Rose +1

2012 – Webb Simpson +1

 

Betting

D Johnson 15/2

McIlroy 12/1

Day 6/1

Spieth 14/1

Rahm 20/1

Fowler 22/1

Garcia 25/1

Rose 25/1

 

30/1 and better the balance, prices correct at the time of posting but subject to change

 

Selections

 

Sergio Garcia at 25/1 – each way*

Sergio finally got his 1st Major at Augusta in April and while his game hasn’t been at its best since then he hasn’t been playing badly with 3 finishes ranging from 12th to 30th. He is a great ball striker and has some good showings in this tournament over the years including a top 5 last year. With the pressure of not having won a Major now something of the past I wouldn’t be surprised to see Sergio go in again this week.

 

Justin Rose at 25/1 – each way

The 2013 champion was only just beaten by Garcia at the US Masters and his game is in solid shape with a T12 in his last start. This man enjoys courses where you have to grind and his ball striking ability and patience can come into play.

 

Jason Dufner at 55/1 – each way

2017 is going very well for Dufner after a few quiet years and he won his last start 2 weeks ago. He enjoys US Open type layouts and in the last 5 years he has a pair of top 5’s, a top 10 and a top 20 together with a missed cut.

 

Billy Horschel at 90/1 – each way

The former FedExCup Champion is hard to catch these days but he has won this season and was T4 last week after a strong finish. He has also missed plenty of cuts though and it is that inconsistency which sees him at a big price this week. His 4 US Open starts have ranged from 4th to 32nd so he can grind when needed.

 

Patrick Reed at 90/1 – each way

Reed’s shares have fallen in the last 12 months but there are signs he is starting to play well again. He had 4 consecutive top 25’s before a T57 in his last start and in 3 US Open starts he has a T14, a T35 and a missed cut. A great scrambler Reed could be a good long shot to have on side this week.

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