Waratahs v Rebels – click here to bet
The Waratahs are coming off a bye after a 7 point loss to the Blues in what was a game of two halves. The Blues quickly built up a big lead but the Waratahs fought back to get within a converted try. The Waratahs won their opening home match against the Force in round 1 but have since lost 4 home matches on the trot. They have averaged 22 points per game at home while conceding an average of 30. The Waratahs are on a shaky run against Australian opposition in Sydney having only won 1 of the last 4 derbies.
The Rebels have lost 3 and drawn 1 of their away matches this season. Their recent South African tour saw them draw 9-9 away to the Sharks but lose by 41 points to the Kings. Last week they hosted the Reds in Melbourne but went down by 5 points which is very much what the bookmakers expected. The Rebels have only managed an average of 8 points in their 4 away games this season and they have conceded an average of 44 points despite the fact that they only let the Sharks in for 9 points in Durban.
The Rebels won the last meeting between the sides in Sydney 21-17 and the last 6 head to heads in Sydney have only averaged 43 points.
Waratahs -12.5 at 9/10
Rebels +12.5 at 9/10
Suggested bet: Handicap, Waratahs -12.5 points at 9/10.
The Waratahs have under-performed this season but they have shown some signs of improvement of late and I think they will be too strong for a Rebels side that has looked nothing short of clueless at times.