Rafael Nadal v Novak Djokovic
Rafael Nadal the 4th seed reached the semi-final after defeating 9th seed David Goffin in the quarter-finals in two sets 7– 6 (3) and 6-2. This moves him a step closer to taking a fifth Mutua Madrid Open Title and he is still in a position to win all 3 ATP World Tour Masters 1000 clay court events in the same season.
He will now face 2nd seed Novak Djokovic who advanced to the semi-finals with a walk over in the last 8 when Kei Nishikori the 6th seed retired with a painful wrist.
In the head to head Djokovic leads Nadal 26-23 and this will be their 50th meeting. Nadal leads 14-7 on clay but Djokovic has won their last 3 on this surface.
Betting – click here to bet
Suggested Bet: 1st set total games over 10.5 at 19/10
I fancy a Nadal win given his current form and the fact that Djokovic is not at his best but the price is a bit short for my pocket. I do think Djokovic will put up a fight and getting close to 2/1 we get 11 games or more in the 1st set feels like some value.