Milwaukee @ Toronto
When Jabari Parker went down midway through the season it looked like a dark road ahead for the Bucks but thanks to the Greek Freak they are in the playoffs. Antetokounmpo leads his side in points, rebounds, assists, steals and blocks. He done so with career highs across the board and is the only players this season (5th in history) to lead his team in all categories. The return of Middleton has added some much needed outside shooting while rookies Maker and Brogdon have developed quickly. For the Bucks this series is all about containing Lowry and DeRozan. The Raptors are not a great 3-point shooting team but they can get to the line with free throws accounting for 18.4% of their points (3rd in the NBA). The length of the Bucks (Monroe, Maker, Giannis) will allow the Bucks to close down the penetration but they will have to be disciplined. This shapes as a genuine half court battle. The Under is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings and 4-0-1 in the Bucks last 5 on the road. If Milwaukee are to make this a series they will have to improve their 4th quarter output. The Raptors 27.6 in the final stanza is the 3rd most in the NBA while the Bucks are languishing in 24th with only 35 points per 4th quarter. Things will really slow down late in this one ensuring the total stays under.